NWS Forecast

National Weather Service Forecast for: Zumbrota
Updated: Mon, 04-Mar-2024 1:51pm CST
This
Afternoon
This Afternoon: Chance Light Snow
Chance Light Snow

Hi 40 °F ↓
Tonight

Tonight: Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy

Lo 23 °F
Tuesday

Tuesday: Sunny
Sunny

Hi 47 °F
Tuesday
Night
Tuesday Night: Mostly Clear
Mostly Clear

Lo 26 °F
Wednesday

Wednesday: Mostly Sunny
Mostly Sunny

Hi 50 °F ↓
Wednesday
Night
Wednesday Night: Mostly Cloudy
Mostly Cloudy

Lo 33 °F
Thursday

Thursday: Partly Sunny then Slight Chance Light Rain
Partly Sunny then Slight Chance Light Rain

Hi 52 °F ↓
Thursday
Night
Thursday Night: Chance Light Rain
Chance Light Rain

Lo 32 °F ↑
Friday

Friday: Chance Light Rain
Chance Light Rain

Hi 42 °F ↓
 
WxSim
15:00
This
afternoon
Mostly Cloudy
Mostly Cloudy
Tonight

Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
Tuesday

Sunny
Sunny
Tuesday
night
Mostly Clear
Mostly Clear
Wednesday

Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
Wednesday
night
Mostly Cloudy
Mostly Cloudy
Thursday

Mostly Cloudy
Mostly Cloudy
Thursday
night
Chance rain
Chance rain
Friday

Rain and Snow
Cold!
Rain and Snow
Cold!
High: 38°Low: 20°High: 51°Low: 25°High: 51°Low: 33°High: 52°Low: 35°High: 36°

WxSim & NWS Forecast Temperature Comparisons

National Weather Service (NW), Actual Observed (Act), WxSim Generated (WS)

Morning Forecasts
Updated: 03-04-24 at 3:00 am
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
03-04-24 32   30 44 ↓   47 26   26 47 ↓   53 27   24 50 ↓   50 32   37 50 ↓   45
03-03-24 45 43.2 42 71 ↓ 73.3 65 36   35 48 ↓   50 28   27 52 ↓   49 27   21 49 ↓   47
03-02-24 33 29.0 30 66 ↓ 64.7 62 47 43.2 41 72 ↓ 73.3 67 35   33 48 ↓   53 26   25 49 ↓   53
03-01-24 33 34.7 33 55 56.5 60 37 29.0 29 61 ↓ 64.7 62 48 43.2 39 69 ↓ 73.3 66 34   36 48 ↓   51
02-29-24 8 7.0 6 51 56.8 44 33 34.7 28 55 ↓ 56.5 56 37 29.0 29 62 ↓ 64.7 63 47 43.2 45 70 ↓ 73.3 69
02-28-24 5 4.9 5 19 18.9 19 11 ↑ 7.0 8 50 ↓ 56.8 52 35 34.7 30 56 ↓ 56.5 59 38 29.0 33 63 ↓ 64.7 71
02-27-24 34 ↑ 25.5 26 49 ↓ 53.1 53 6 4.9 9 20 18.9 21 12 ↑ 7.0 8 49 ↓ 56.8 51 34 34.7 33 56 ↓ 56.5 63
02-26-24 28 ↑ 24.2 23 64 ↓ 67.3 65 35 25.5 35 50 ↓ 53.1 51 8 4.9 9 22 18.9 21 14 ↑ 7.0 13 48 ↓ 56.8 53
02-25-24 31 28.2 32 51 ↓ 51.2 55 30 ↑ 24.2 29 64 ↓ 67.3 67 35 25.5 36 52 ↓ 53.1 56 11 ↑ 4.9 12 21 18.9 19
02-24-24 13 10.5 13 43 43.1 44 31 28.2 28 48 ↓ 51.2 53 30 ↑ 24.2 28 61 ↓ 67.3 64 36 ↑ 25.5 33 49 ↓ 53.1 53
02-23-24 30 ↑ 27.0 28 36 ↓ 36.6 36 15 10.5 14 44 43.1 44 30 ↑ 28.2 27 45 ↓ 51.2 50 30 ↑ 24.2 26 61 ↓ 67.3 66
02-22-24 31 24.0 22 49 ↓ 55.5 57 28 27.0 28 33 ↓ 36.6 35 16 10.5 12 44 ↓ 43.1 43 30 28.2 32 47 ↓ 51.2 47
02-21-24 26 ↑ 21.0 19 51 ↓ 49.2 54 30 ↑ 24.0 24 45 ↓ 55.5 53 25 27.0 24 34 ↓ 36.6 38 21 10.5 13 48 ↓ 43.1 51
02-20-24 27 26.7 28 45 ↓ 47.9 55 26 21.0 25 50 ↓ 49.2 55 30 24.0 25 43 ↓ 55.5 46 25 27.0 21 35 ↓ 36.6 38
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 5 11 7 5 3 5 5 5 3 5 3 4 3 3 3 4
% Succ 38.5   84.6 53.8   38.5 25.0   41.7 41.7   41.7 27.3   45.5 27.3   36.4 30.0   30.0 30.0   40.0
Ave Error 3.2   1.5 2.3   3.7 4.4   3.1 3.3   2.6 4.7   3.2 4.4   3.4 5.7   4.2 3.8   3.6
Net Error 2.9   0.1 -1.9   -0.4 4.2   1.6 -2.9   -0.9 4.3   0.8 -3.6   -1.8 5.2   2.7 -2.4   0.9
Std Dev 2.4   1.0 2.1   3.6 3.1   3.0 2.1   2.0 3.5   3.1 3.1   2.5 4.4   3.3 3.2   3.0

Mid Day Forecasts
Updated: 03-04-24 at 10:00 am
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
03-04-24 43 ↓   43 26   25 47 ↓   51 27   22 50 ↓   51 32   32 50 ↓   54 31   35
03-03-24 75 73.3 68 35 28.0 36 >45   45 >25   28 <55   46 >25   24 >45   50 <35   34
03-02-24 65 64.7 62 >45 43.2 40 <75 73.3 70 35 28.0 36 >45   54 25   29 >45   52 >25   16
03-01-24 55 56.5 59 37 29.0 30 61 ↓ 64.7 64 48 43.2 43 69 ↓ 73.3 68 34 28.0 39 48 ↓   58 26   24
02-29-24 52 ↓ 56.8 52 32 34.7 31 56 56.5 60 35 29.0 30 59 64.7 65 44 43.2 46 69 73.3 68 32 ↑ 28.0 32
02-28-24 19 18.9 19 11 ↑ 7.0 6 50 ↓ 56.8 50 35 34.7 30 56 ↓ 56.5 57 38 29.0 34 63 ↓ 64.7 67 48 43.2 47
02-27-24 49 ↓ 53.1 54 6 4.9 8 20 18.9 17 12 ↑ 7.0 5 49 ↓ 56.8 48 34 34.7 29 56 ↓ 56.5 61 36 29.0 29
02-26-24 <65 67.3 68 35 25.5 34 >45 53.1 49 7 4.9 7 <25 18.9 20 16 7.0 13 >45 56.8 53 <35 34.7 31
02-25-24 51 ↓ 51.2 55 30 24.2 29 64 ↓ 67.3 66 35 25.5 36 52 ↓ 53.1 52 11 ↑ 4.9 12 21 18.9 23 11 ↑ 7.0 14
02-24-24 43 43.1 46 31 28.2 28 48 ↓ 51.2 54 30 ↑ 24.2 28 61 ↓ 67.3 65 36 ↑ 25.5 35 49 ↓ 53.1 56 9 ↑ 4.9 11
02-23-24 36 ↓ 36.6 37 15 10.5 13 44 43.1 44 30 ↑ 28.2 28 45 ↓ 51.2 53 30 ↑ 24.2 29 61 ↓ 67.3 67 38 ↑ 25.5 35
02-22-24 49 ↓ 55.5 56 28 27.0 26 33 ↓ 36.6 40 16 10.5 11 44 ↓ 43.1 39 30 28.2 25 47 ↓ 51.2 43 31 24.2 19
02-21-24 51 ↓ 49.2 56 31 24.0 27 46 ↓ 55.5 52 24 27.0 23 32 ↓ 36.6 37 19 10.5 13 46 ↓ 43.1 45 29 28.2 30
02-20-24 46 ↓ 47.9 57 26 21.0 26 50 ↓ 49.2 55 30 24.0 28 43 ↓ 55.5 49 25 27.0 20 35 ↓ 36.6 38 20 10.5 17
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 9 5 2 4 4 4 2 5 3 6 4 0 3 3 1 2
% Succ 69.2   38.5 15.4   30.8 33.3   33.3 16.7   41.7 27.3   54.5 36.4   0.0 30.0   30.0 10.0   20.0
Ave Error 7.0   3.1 7.8   3.5 13.3   3.2 4.7   3.4 6.3   2.9 5.5   5.9 8.5   3.5 8.8   4.8
Net Error -6.4   1.1 0.8   2.1 -12.9   -0.4 4.2   1.6 -6.1   -2.2 5.0   3.0 -7.5   -0.1 1.9   3.0
Std Dev 17.6   2.3 10.7   2.6 23.2   2.1 3.0   3.4 5.6   2.8 4.1   3.8 16.8   2.3 10.3   3.5

Evening Forecasts
Updated: 03-03-24 at 7:00 pm
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
03-03-24 34   33 46   44 25   25 48 ↓   50 28   27 50   48 32   31 48 ↓   49
03-02-24 45 43.2 41 69 ↓ 73.3 66 36   35 49 ↓   53 27   26 50 ↓   56 25   18 48 ↓   46
03-01-24 34 29.0 29 63 64.7 61 47 43.2 41 70 ↓ 73.3 67 34   37 49 ↓   52 27   28 49 ↓   56
02-29-24 33 34.7 29 55 56.5 58 37 29.0 28 60 ↓ 64.7 65 46 43.2 47 70 ↓ 73.3 71 34   33 46 ↓   55
02-28-24 10 ↑ 7.0 6 52 ↓ 56.8 49 34 34.7 31 55 ↓ 56.5 55 37 29.0 31 62 ↓ 64.7 64 47 43.2 45 70 ↓ 73.3 72
02-27-24 6 4.9 6 19 18.9 18 11 ↑ 7.0 6 50 ↓ 56.8 52 35 34.7 31 56 ↓ 56.5 60 38 29.0 33 63 ↓ 64.7 72
02-26-24 35 25.5 30 50 ↓ 53.1 52 8 4.9 7 21 18.9 21 13 ↑ 7.0 12 49 ↓ 56.8 52 34 34.7 29 56 ↓ 56.5 59
02-25-24 30 24.2 25 65 ↓ 67.3 65 36 25.5 34 51 ↓ 53.1 51 11 4.9 10 22 18.9 22 13 ↑ 7.0 14 45 ↓ 56.8 53
02-24-24 30 ↑ 28.2 31 50 ↓ 51.2 55 30 ↑ 24.2 29 62 ↓ 67.3 67 35 25.5 36 50 ↓ 53.1 56 9 ↑ 4.9 12 22 18.9 19
02-23-24 13 10.5 12 44 43.1 44 32 28.2 28 48 ↓ 51.2 53 30 24.2 28 62 ↓ 67.3 64 35 ↑ 25.5 33 47 ↓ 53.1 53
02-22-24 28 27.0 27 33 ↓ 36.6 35 16 10.5 13 44 ↓ 43.1 45 30 28.2 27 47 ↓ 51.2 47 31 24.2 24 57 ↓ 67.3 66
02-21-24 31 24.0 25 48 ↓ 55.5 54 27 27.0 28 32 ↓ 36.6 41 16 10.5 11 45 43.1 42 29 ↑ 28.2 27 46 ↓ 51.2 44
02-20-24 26 21.0 21 51 ↓ 49.2 54 30 24.0 24 45 ↓ 55.5 52 25 27.0 24 34 ↓ 36.6 37 21 10.5 17 48 ↓ 43.1 51
02-19-24 27 26.7 25 43 ↓ 47.9 51 25 21.0 22 47 ↓ 49.2 51 28 24.0 23 42 ↓ 55.5 46 24 27.0 19 34 ↓ 36.6 37
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 6 9 6 6 2 6 2 6 3 4 2 3 2 3 2 5
% Succ 46.2   69.2 46.2   46.2 16.7   50.0 16.7   50.0 27.3   36.4 18.2   27.3 20.0   30.0 20.0   50.0
Ave Error 3.5   1.7 2.9   3.1 4.6   2.3 3.9   2.6 4.7   3.6 4.4   3.3 5.4   4.9 5.0   3.2
Net Error 3.2   0.1 -2.5   -0.9 4.5   1.0 -3.4   -0.5 4.3   2.0 -3.5   -1.5 4.7   1.9 -3.4   0.5
Std Dev 2.7   1.7 2.1   2.4 3.3   2.4 2.3   2.0 3.5   3.0 2.9   2.0 4.2   3.5 4.3   2.8

Overnight Forecasts
Updated: 03-03-24 at 10:00 pm
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
03-03-24 34   33 46   47 25   26 48 ↓   52 28   27 50   49 32   31 48 ↓   50
03-02-24 45 43.2 48 69 ↓ 73.3 67 36   35 49 ↓   51 27   30 50 ↓   55 25   20 48 ↓   46
03-01-24 34 29.0 32 62 64.7 63 46 43.2 41 70 ↓ 73.3 67 34   36 49 ↓   51 27   29 49 ↓   55
02-29-24 33 ↑ 34.7 34 55 56.5 61 37 29.0 30 60 ↓ 64.7 62 46 43.2 42 70 ↓ 73.3 68 34   32 46 ↓   55
02-28-24 8 7.0 6 51 56.8 50 33 34.7 32 55 ↓ 56.5 57 37 29.0 30 62 ↓ 64.7 64 47 43.2 45 70 ↓ 73.3 72
02-27-24 5 4.9 6 20 18.9 18 10 ↑ 7.0 8 50 ↓ 56.8 52 35 34.7 30 56 ↓ 56.5 59 38 29.0 33 63 ↓ 64.7 72
02-26-24 35 ↑ 25.5 27 51 ↓ 53.1 50 7 4.9 9 20 18.9 23 13 ↑ 7.0 9 49 ↓ 56.8 50 34 34.7 29 56 ↓ 56.5 60
02-25-24 30 24.2 23 65 67.3 65 36 25.5 35 51 ↓ 53.1 51 11 4.9 9 22 18.9 22 13 ↑ 7.0 14 45 ↓ 56.8 53
02-24-24 30 ↑ 28.2 33 50 ↓ 51.2 55 31 24.2 30 63 ↓ 67.3 67 36 25.5 36 51 ↓ 53.1 56 9 ↑ 4.9 12 22 18.9 19
02-23-24 13 10.5 13 44 43.1 44 32 28.2 28 48 ↓ 51.2 53 30 24.2 28 62 ↓ 67.3 64 35 ↑ 25.5 33 47 ↓ 53.1 53
02-22-24 30 27.0 30 36 ↓ 36.6 36 16 10.5 14 43 43.1 45 31 28.2 27 46 ↓ 51.2 46 29 24.2 24 60 ↓ 67.3 66
02-21-24 31 24.0 25 48 ↓ 55.5 54 27 27.0 27 32 ↓ 36.6 42 16 10.5 12 45 43.1 43 29 ↑ 28.2 27 46 ↓ 51.2 44
02-20-24 26 ↑ 21.0 20 51 ↓ 49.2 53 30 24.0 26 45 ↓ 55.5 54 25 27.0 25 34 ↓ 36.6 37 21 10.5 17 48 ↓ 43.1 51
02-19-24 27 26.7 27 43 ↓ 47.9 53 25 21.0 23 47 ↓ 49.2 53 28 24.0 25 42 ↓ 55.5 48 24 27.0 22 34 ↓ 36.6 39
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 6 8 6 5 2 6 3 5 2 7 2 3 2 3 2 4
% Succ 46.2   61.5 46.2   38.5 16.7   50.0 25.0   41.7 18.2   63.6 18.2   27.3 20.0   30.0 20.0   40.0
Ave Error 3.4   2.0 2.8   3.2 4.5   2.8 3.7   2.9 4.9   3.0 4.4   3.4 5.2   4.6 4.7   3.5
Net Error 3.2   1.4 -2.2   -0.4 4.2   2.0 -3.5   -0.0 4.5   1.3 -3.5   -1.8 4.5   2.2 -3.1   0.8
Std Dev 2.7   1.5 2.1   2.1 3.4   2.8 2.4   2.1 3.6   3.0 3.0   2.4 4.1   3.4 4.1   3.0